Project finance modelling skills in other sectors
In many countries the calculation of dividends is not simply the payout of any free cashflow left over after the repayment of debt service and reserve accounts, it is restricted to be the smaller of the freecashflow and either the Net Accounting Profit in the Period or also to include the Retained Earnings brought forward in the period.
This means that a dividend is only paid out if there is sufficient free cash flow and let say, retained profit (either definition).
Retained Profit is a different function to FreeCashflow and so at any time, they are generally different, especially at the stage in a project when dividends would be expected to be paid. Lets take a look at what each is made up of:
As you might be able to see from the above points the only way for free cashflow to be the same as profit is if all of the above hold true:
As you can imagine, in a typical project finance transaction these functions are generally quite different because those conditions almost never apply.
So if the accounting profit is a constraint on the release of freecashflow (dividends) then it doesn’t matter if there is $10m of free cash to distribute if there are not corresponding accounting profits - no dividends will be paid. The accounting profit function is generally lower than the free cash flow owing to the often significant losses that can accumulate during project development and construction. The freecashflow that accumulates during the period whilst accounting profit is catching up with cash performance is called ‘trapped cash’. This trapped cash is a major problem for equity investors and is partially solved by the use of shareholder loans although that has issues to be discussed another time…
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